Source: Institute for Digital Transformation
Author: Hans Gillior
The digitalization scenario of society and businesses raises a number of fundamental questions that need to be addressed. What work will people do if 40% of our current jobs are replaced? How will money and wealth be distributed if 50% of the work force does not have a regular income? How can we control the computers when they have a greater skills than people? Are we willing to pay for future digital services provided by a computer? We have approximately 10-15 years to find answers to these question as the evolution is very rapid. And at the same time, we need to address other global challenges as global warming and political instability. The social, political and economic complexity will increase exponentially.
Embracing the Digital Future
[We have] to embrace the possibilities of the new digital technology rather than protecting our pre-digital society and work force. Unfortunately, it is impossible to predict the workings of the future digital society and what kind of work will be in demand. The digitalization of our work force will be extremely painful and will lead to social unrest if not managed correctly. Who is to blame when our jobs are replaced by computers and our standard of living is reduced? Will we see social refugees emigrating to find work and income in other parts of the world?
Looking forward, I can see three areas where employment will increase in the coming years. First, it is assumed that that life expectancy will radically increase with a higher percentage of population over 70 years old. It will require complete new medical structure, services and human capabilities. Digital technology will improve standard of care, but human interaction and contact is absolutely required. Even though social and mobile platforms makes it easier for people to communicate, my view is that the need for human interaction will increase. Secondly, the environmental challenges are today (2018) are huge and new digital technology along with human labor is needed to clean up the earth. Addressing the new ecological challenges will require new eco-friendly infrastructure and societies. In Sweden, the government just approved high speed trains between the major cities to reduce the dependencies on flying. More and more large-scale infrastructure projects are needed to meet the current environmental threats. Finally, the rise of local markets and businesses will dominate our society going forward. We see more and more businesses embracing the well-being of the local society; staying close to the customer and focusing on the human interaction. We also see the rise of local businesses focusing on repairs and recycling to reduce consumption and ecological impact.
Imagine the Future
About the Author
Hans Gillior is a founding partner of The Goodwind Company, an advisory and knowledge company in field of digital transformation. The Goodwind Company believe in the sharing economy and the power of networks across borders and cultures. The company provides a “best practice” framework (service library) supporting Digital Transformation GooDIGITAL based on the collective knowledge and experience of Goodwind partners, academia and business partners.
Hans Gillior is an experienced Principal in field of IT/Digital Transformation with both senior line manager and senior advisor positions. He has a proven track record of changing the mind-set of leadership, and implementing dynamic governance and capabilities to create a competitive advantage in unpredictable digital markets. He is a digital thought-leader part of local and global expert networks, but also a frequent speaker at conferences, management coach/trainer and author.